The purpose of this page is to provide a snapshot of the trajectory of the economic impact from the coronavirus across the world. I've simplified this to trying to classify the status fo each country's efforts to contain the virus based on the characteristics of their confirmed cases curve. I've classified each country with more than 100 cases into three categories (all using three day moving averages):
- Getting worse: Countries where the number of daily cases is increasing and setting a new high in number of new daily confirmed cases.
- Transition: Countries where either (a) the pace of new daily cases is slowing, though still increasing and reaching a new high, or (b) the pace of new daily cases are increasing, but remain below the high of the last 30 days. Countries in (b) are countries that may be experience a second wave after getting through a first wave.
- Getting better: Countries where the number of new daily cases is decreasing.
The status of each country is then weighted by its GDP (per IMF) to produce the chart below.
The data comes from Johns Hopkins University.
Go here for a look at cases by US state.